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Predictions on Vintage MIJ Guitar availability in 2008

 
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villager
Guitar God


Joined: 03 Mar 2005
Posts: 3589
Location: Middle of Nowhere.. France.

PostPosted: Sat Jan 12, 2008 7:06 am    Post subject: Predictions on Vintage MIJ Guitar availability in 2008 Reply with quote

here's my guesstimates on the levels of high end Japanese vintage which will come on the market from Japan next year...and I mean ones without issues..

Strats
Greco SE-800 super reals 10
tokai ST-80 around 10
tokai st-100 0/1
Fender JV 65's 20
JV-85's 10
JV-115's 3

LP's
Tokai reborn/old/love rock pre 1981

LS-80 10
ls-100 5
ls-120 5
ls-150 0/1
ls-200 0/1

Greco EGF-1000 15
EGF-1200 5
EGF-1800 0/1

ObG reissues (93/94) 20

these are estimates based on the last 2 years of sales, and current trends in availability....

I have only looked at some models which I am particularly interested in, and have excluded any resales outside japan ..

Of course I may be completely wrong.....
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bunbury
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Joined: 03 Apr 2006
Posts: 257
Location: london

PostPosted: Sat Jan 12, 2008 8:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Interesting thought. I hope some of your numbers maybe a little low - and if there's only 1 st-100 coming on the market in 2008 then I'd like to point out that it's going to be mine!

More seriously, I think I know of 2 st-100s on the market in Japan ....
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villager
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Joined: 03 Mar 2005
Posts: 3589
Location: Middle of Nowhere.. France.

PostPosted: Sat Jan 12, 2008 8:47 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

yes but my point is that they have been for sale for a while, and are not 'new' on the market, I only know of one, but its not all original, with changed PU, and doesn't have the gold hardware, so I would class that as having issues.... please let me know where they are as I would like to have a look at the other one....

of course theres the issue of price as well...so if a guitar comes on the market in Japan at a very high price, then it will remain for sale for quite a while....

but in 2007 I saw 3 claimed ST-100's newly coming for sale, I would only have wanted to buy one of those, as the other 2 had issues, and I was outbid on that one...so hence my guesstimate for this year..
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rgrafend
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PostPosted: Sat Jan 12, 2008 9:22 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

ST100s are very strange beasts.

I also have seen only one in 2007, and the price simply was outrageous (and I tried to outbid Mark before I gave up).

Just one funny story: when I sold an ST80 a few months ago I've been asked by a senior exec of ebay (the company) if I might have an ST100. She was ready to pay any price I ask for. Of course I did not sell.

Cheers! Rup
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bunbury
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Joined: 03 Apr 2006
Posts: 257
Location: london

PostPosted: Sat Jan 12, 2008 9:54 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

villager wrote:
yes but my point is that they have been for sale for a while, and are not 'new' on the market, I only know of one, but its not all original, with changed PU, and doesn't have the gold hardware, so I would class that as having issues.... please let me know where they are as I would like to have a look at the other one....


That's one. The other is Koiz - looks good but no headstock logo. No price either - but he usually charges about the amount I'd pay after import duty, VAT and shipping, not before.

Hi Rupert - if I had an St-100 I'd say everyone was offering me gold bars for it too! Don't want to devalue the goods
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villager
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Joined: 03 Mar 2005
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Location: Middle of Nowhere.. France.

PostPosted: Sat Jan 12, 2008 10:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

i dont count koiz as that one i saw before he bought it..

the other was new to the market
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bunbury
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Location: london

PostPosted: Sat Jan 12, 2008 11:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

villager wrote:
i don't count koiz as that one i saw before he bought it..

the other was new to the market


... well. whatever they are - I'm not in the running for either! One doesn't convince me and I expect the other will be too expnesive.

I think there might even be a third with a very slightly modified headstock .... but that's not especially new to the market either Somewhere in Austria, I believe ....
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larklanekid
Plucker


Joined: 12 Jan 2008
Posts: 12
Location: Berkeley, CA, USA

PostPosted: Mon Jan 14, 2008 9:52 pm    Post subject: Here is how I am going to snag that ST100 on eBay Reply with quote

Late last year, I sold my house. I have all the money Paypal account. I live alone as I broke up with my girlfriend. No job and I eat only frozen food from Trader Joes. I have enhanced DSL. I have a large commercial coffee brewer. I do nothing by watch all incoming guitars in eBay, Yahoo Japan, CL on 3 monitors tracking the global markets. So far, I have snagged the following guitars in 2008:

1985 Tokai V-55 w/case, 9/10 (Thank you Mickdal, Guitar God) $365
2000 History ZLC90-CFS 8/10 $440
Edwards 199X Strat copy w/ Duncans, Nitro, 10/10 $266 ( )
Fender 198? MIJ E series Strat, all original, 6/10 $399
All prices shown include shipping.

I am so happy. All I need now is to find a toothbrush, razor and girlfriend.

Also I need to find out about these things they call barre chords.
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JohnA
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Joined: 02 Mar 2007
Posts: 4176
Location: Leicester UK

PostPosted: Tue Jan 15, 2008 4:02 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

larklanekid, A toothbrush is nice, but razors & girlfriends are overrated
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jesone
Plucker


Joined: 08 Jan 2008
Posts: 11
Location: Leicester UK

PostPosted: Sun Jan 20, 2008 11:45 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

JohnA wrote:
larklanekid, A toothbrush is nice, but razors & girlfriends are overrated

ROFLMAO
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tezza-j
Guitar God


Joined: 27 Jan 2003
Posts: 399
Location: london, uk

PostPosted: Sun Jan 20, 2008 5:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

i'd get that money out of that paypal account asap now you've made a public statement on the internet about its possible contents......
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